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id=\"footnote-ref-1\" href=\"#footnote-1\">[1]<\/a><\/sup>\u3002<\/p><p>\u4f46\u6700\u8fd1\u5e7e\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u8a8d\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u5316\u638f\u7a7a\u4e86\u4ed6\u5011\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u97dc\u5149\u990a\u6666\u4e2d\u4e5f\u6f38\u6f38\u9732\u51fa\u99ac\u8173\uff0c\u8655\u5fc3\u7a4d\u616e\u8981\u6539\u8b8a\u570b\u969b\u79e9\u5e8f\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u9a5a\u89ba\u4e0d\u5c0d\uff0c\u5f9e\u539f\u6709\u7684\u6177\u6168\u3001\u826f\u5584\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u6709\u90a3\u9ebc\u4e00\u9ede\u611b\u7ba1\u9591\u4e8b\u7684\u50be\u5411\u9000\u7e2e\u3002\u5ddd\u666e\u4e0a\u4efb\u5f88\u5feb\u9000\u51fa\u5df4\u9ece\u6c23\u5019\u5354\u5b9a\u3001\u570b\u969b\u885b\u751f\u7d44\u7e54(WHO)\u3001\u806f\u5408\u570b\u4eba\u6b0a\u7406\u4e8b\u6703\u3002\u751a\u81f3\u4e0d\u7ba1\u6b50\u6d32\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u653e\u8a71\u9000\u51fa\u5317\u7d04\u3002<\/p><p><strong>\u57fa\u7763\u5f92\u770b\u6cd5\u5169\u6975<\/strong><\/p><p>\u6211\u6240\u8a8d\u8b58\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u9078\u7968\u7684\u57fa\u7763\u5f92\u5c0d\u5ddd\u666e\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u662f\u5169\u500b\u6975\u7aef\u3002\u6709\u4eba\u8a8d\u70ba\u4ed6\u662f\u795e\u6240\u63c0\u9078\u7684\u50d5\u4eba\u3002\u4ed6\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u4efb\u671f\u5c31\u4efb\u547d\u4e86\u4e09\u4f4d\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\u5927\u6cd5\u5b98\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4fdd\u5b88\u8b70\u984c\u5728\u6700\u9ad8\u6cd5\u9662\u90fd\u53d6\u5f97\u512a\u52e2\u3002\u4ed6\u9bae\u660e\u7684\u53cd\u5c0d\u58ae\u80ce\uff0c\u63a8\u5d07\u4fdd\u5b88\u5bb6\u5ead\u50f9\u503c\u89c0\uff0c\u53cd\u5c0d\u8de8\u6027\u5225\u6b0a\u5229\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u5f97\u5230\u798f\u97f3\u6d3e\u57fa\u7763\u5f9280%\u7684\u9078\u7968\uff0c\u798f\u97f3\u6d3e\u57fa\u7763\u5f92\u4f54\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u9078\u8209\u4eba\u6578\u768420%\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u80a1\u5f37\u5927\u7684\u652f\u6301\u529b\u91cf\u3002<\/p><p>\u807d\u5230\u5ddd\u666e\u8aaa\uff1a\u300c<strong>\u4ee5\u5f8c\u7f8e\u570b\u53ea\u6709\u4e8c\u7a2e\u6027\u5225\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u7537\u6027\u548c\u5973\u6027\u3002<\/strong>\u300d\u6211\u9ad8\u8208\u7684\u5c0d\u8457\u4e00\u7fa4\u9752\u5c11\u5e74\u8aaa\uff1a\u300c<strong>\u9019\u662f\u8056\u7d93\u7acb\u5834\uff0c\u56de\u5230\u8056\u7d93\u503c\u5f97\u80af\u5b9a\u3002<\/strong>\u300d<\/p><p>\u53e6\u4e00\u908a\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u5ddd\u666e\u7684\u54c1\u683c\u6709\u7455\u75b5\u3002\u4ed6\u4ee5\u524d\u7d93\u71df\u7684\u4f01\u696d\u5927\u90fd\u662f\u623f\u5730\u7522\u3001\u5a1b\u6a02\u3001\u8ced\u5834\uff1b\u5104\u842c\u5bcc\u7fc1\uff0c\u537b\u5584\u7528\u6cd5\u5f8b\u6f0f\u6d1e\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u7e73\u4ec0\u9ebc\u7a05\uff1b\u4ed6\u6709\u4e09\u6bb5\u5a5a\u59fb\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e00\u4efb\u671f\u8207\u591a\u4f4d\u91cd\u8981\u95a3\u54e1\u9b27\u7ffb\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6c7a\u88c2\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u672a\u4e86\u7684\u5211\u4e8b\u548c\u6c11\u4e8b\u8a34\u8a1f\u3002<\/p><p><strong>\u6c11\u610f.\u5229\u76ca.\u4ea4\u6613<\/strong><\/p><p>\u6839\u64daCBS\u65b0\u805e\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u6c11\u8abf\uff0c\u5ddd\u666e\u73fe\u670953%\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\uff0c70%\u7684\u53d7\u8a2a\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u4ed6\u6b63\u5728\u514c\u73fe\u7af6\u9078\u627f\u8afe\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u6f02\u4eae\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u4eba\u6c11\u652f\u6301\u4ed6\u8b93\u7f8e\u570b\u518d\u6b21\u5049\u5927\u7684\u7406\u60f3\u3002\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u9999\u6e2f\u7e3d\u7763\uff0c\u525b\u5f9e\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b78\u6821\u76e3\u5378\u4efb\u4e0d\u4e45\u7684\u5f6d\u5b9a\u5eb7\uff08Chris Patten\uff09\u8aaa\uff1a\u7f8e\u570b\u5f9e\u672a\u505c\u6b62\u904e\u5049\u5927\uff0c\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u518d\u558a\u300c\u518d\u6b21\u5049\u5927\u300d\u3002\u4f46\u7f8e\u570b\u4e0d\u9019\u9ebc\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u5c0d\u624b\u7a0d\u903c\u8fd1\u4e00\u9ede\uff0c\u81ea\u89ba\u8870\u9000\u4e00\u4e9b\uff0c\u5c31\u8981\u518d\u6b21\u632f\u4f5c\uff0c\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6575\u4eba\u9760\u8fd1\u3002<\/p><p>\u7e3d\u7d71\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u5c0d\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u53ca\u9078\u6c11\u8ca0\u8cac\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u5929\u7d93\u5730\u7fa9\u7684\u4e8b\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\u591a\u6578\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u89c0\u5bdf\u5bb6\u8a8d\u70ba\u5ddd\u666e\u4e0d\u5177\u6709\u50b3\u7d71\u81ea\u7531\u3001\u6c11\u4e3b\u3001\u4eba\u6b0a\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u7cfb\u7d71\uff0c\u51e1\u4e8b\u4ee5\u300c\u4ea4\u6613\u300d\u53ca\u300c\u5229\u76ca\u300d\u8003\u91cf\u3002\u9019\u5e7e\u5929\u5ddd\u666e\u7e5e\u904e\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u548c\u6b50\u6d32\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u548c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u8ac7\u505c\u6230\u5354\u5b9a\uff0c\u5df2\u7d93\u4f7f\u6574\u500b\u6b50\u6d32\u4eba\u5fc3\u60f6\u60f6\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u6c92\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u6b50\u6d32\u9818\u5c0e\u4eba\u559c\u6b61\u4ed6\u3002\u4ed6\u4e5f\u4e00\u76f4\u5403\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684\u8c46\u8150\uff0c\u8abf\u4f83\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u662f\u4ed6\u7684\u7b2c51\u5dde\uff0c\u8ca1\u5927\u6c23\u7c97\u5230\u4e0d\u53ea\u4e0d\u7d66\u9762\u5b50\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6015\u5225\u4eba\u8aaa\u4ed6\u8b93\u6b96\u6c11\u4e3b\u7fa9\u501f\u5c4d\u9084\u9b42\u3002<\/p><p>\u5ddd\u666e\u4e5f\u4e0d\u81c9\u7d05\u9ad8\u5206\u8c9d\u7684\u8aaa\uff1a\u300c<strong>\u53f0\u7063\u6436\u8d70\u4e86\u6211\u5011\u7684\u6676\u7247\u2026\u3002<\/strong>\u300d\u5bb3\u5f97\u53f0\u7063\u5b98\u54e1\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u767c\u8868\u9577\u6587\u6f84\u6e05\uff1a\u300c<strong>\u6211\u5011\u662f\u8f9b\u82e6\u52aa\u529b\u4e86\u534a\u4e16\u7d00\uff0c\u624d\u8d70\u5230\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u5730\u6b65\u2026\u3002<\/strong>\u300d<\/p><p>\u6216\u8a31\u5ddd\u666e\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u5c31\u662f\u5148\u8072\u596a\u4eba\uff0c\u5148\u558a\u4e00\u500b\u9ad8\u50f9\uff0c\u518d\u8b93\u4f60\u6bba\u50f9\u3002\u771f\u6b63\u8981\u4f60\u4ed8\u4e94\u6bdb\uff0c\u4ed6\u5148\u558a\u4e00\u5143\uff0c\u6700\u5f8c\u8b93\u4f60\u89ba\u5f97\u5c11\u4ed8\u4e86\u4e94\u6bdb\u3002<\/p><p><strong>\u770b\u6e05\u554f\u984c\u6240\u5728<\/strong><\/p><p>\u7f8e\u570b\u5df2\u7d93\u770b\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u518d\u7576\u51f1\u5b50\u4e86\u3002\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u570b\u529b\u4e0d\u662f\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u90a3\u4e9b\u884d\u751f\u6027\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662fGDP\u7684\u5faa\u74b0\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u771f\u771f\u5be6\u5be6\u7684\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u3002\u4e00\u5207\u95dc\u7a05\u7684\u624b\u6bb5\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u56de\u6d41\uff0c\u597d\u5275\u9020\u5c31\u696d\u6a5f\u6703\u3002<\/p><p>\u5ddd\u666e\u6562\u65bc\u505a\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e0d\u6015\u8207\u4eba\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u9019\u5c0d\u89e3\u6c7a\u9577\u5e74\u6c88\u75fe\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u6703\u6709\u7acb\u7aff\u898b\u5f71\u7684\u6548\u679c\u3002\u6211\u5011\u652f\u6301\u67e5\u5e33\uff0c\u8655\u7406\u975e\u6cd5\u79fb\u6c11\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u7626\u8eab\u3002\u6211\u5011\u4e5f\u70ba\u5ddd\u666e\u628a\u7f8e\u570b\u793e\u6703\u5f9e\u904e\u5ea6\u5de6\u50be\u7684\u61f8\u5d16\u62c9\u56de\u5230\u8f03\u4fdd\u5b88\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\u800c\u559d\u91c7\u3002<\/p><p>\u4ed6\u4e5f\u6562\u65bc\u885d\u649e\uff01\u4f46\u4e0d\u80fd\u5408\u7406\u5316\u7684\u8aaa\uff1a\u300c<strong>\u70ba\u4e86\u6551\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u6cd5\u5f8b\u7684\u9650\u5236<\/strong>\u300d\u3002\u6cd5\u5f8b\u5b9a\u5f97\u4e0d\u597d\u6216\u4e0d\u5408\u6642\u5b9c\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4fee\u6539\u3002\u6211\u5011\u652f\u6301\u8056\u7d93\u7acb\u5834\uff0c\u5ee2\u9664\u8de8\u6027\u5225\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u8981\u5408\u4e4e\u7a0b\u5e8f\u6b63\u7fa9\uff0c\u4e0d\u7136\u79e9\u5e8f\u5c07\u8569\u7136\u7121\u5b58\u3002<\/p><p>\u6211\u5011\u4e5f\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u300c\u50f9\u503c\u300d\u6bd4\u300c\u50f9\u9322\u300d\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u5728\u7b97\u8a08\u5229\u76ca\u6642\uff0c\u61c9\u8a72\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u50f9\u503c\u6210\u70ba\u6838\u5fc3\u7406\u5ff5\uff0c\u4e0d\u7136\u5c31\u662f\u81ea\u79c1\u3001\u81ea\u5229\u3001\u81ea\u6211\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff0c\u6700\u5f8c\u5c31\u662f\u723e\u865e\u6211\u8a50\u3002\u6c92\u6709\u4fe1\u4efb\uff0c\u96e3\u4ee5\u5efa\u7acb\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6703\u6709\u7f8e\u597d\u7684\u5c07\u4f86\u3002<\/p><p><strong>\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u9328<\/strong><\/p><p>\u5e0c\u81d8\u6b77\u53f2\u5b78\u5bb6\u84b2\u9b6f\u514b\u5f62\u5bb9\u53e4\u4ee3\u7f85\u99ac\u662f\u7576\u6642\u6f02\u6d6e\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u9328\u3002\u9328\u7684\u529b\u9053\u8b8a\u5f31\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u5c31\u6703\u6f02\u6d6e\u3002\u6211\u5011\u6a02\u898b\u7f8e\u570b\u518d\u6b21\u5049\u5927\uff0c\u7e7c\u7e8c\u6210\u70ba\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u9328\uff0c\u8b93\u9019\u500b\u4e16\u754c\u66f4\u52a0\u7684\u7a69\u56fa\u3002<\/p><p>Samuel Huntington(\u8cfd\u7e46\u723e.\u676d\u4ead\u9813)\u8aaa\uff1a<strong>\u5728\u6240\u6709\u570b\u5bb6\u4e2d\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u7f8e\u570b\u662f\u65b0\u6559\u6539\u9769\u5275\u9020\u7684\u7522\u54c1\u3002\u6c92\u6709\u6e05\u6559\u5f92\u7684\u4fe1\u4ef0\uff0c\u5c31\u6c92\u6709\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u3002\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u6b77\u53f2\u9577\u6d41\u4e0d\u65b7\u7684\u8b8a\u52d5\u4e2d\uff0c\u6709\u6642\u8208\u76db\u3001\u6709\u6642\u8870\u843d\u3002\u4f46\u53ea\u8981\u627f\u64d4\u8d77\u5fa9\u8208\u57fa\u7763\u4fe1\u4ef0\u7684\u6587\u5316\u3001\u50b3\u7d71\u3001\u50f9\u503c\u8cac\u4efb\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5805\u6301\u9019\u500b\u627f\u8afe\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4ecd\u6703\u6b77\u4e45\u4e0d\u8870\u3002<\/strong><sup><a id=\"footnote-ref-2\" href=\"#footnote-2\">[2]<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p>(\u5f8c\u8a18\uff1a\u6b64\u7a3f\u5beb\u65bc2025.02.18\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u95dc\u6ce8\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u60c5\u52e2\u548c\u5ddd\u666e\u7684\u884c\u4e8b\u98a8\u683c\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u98a8\u8d77\u96f2\u6e67\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u4e8b\u4ecd\u9700\u8db3\u5920\u7684\u6642\u9593\u89c0\u5bdf\u53ca\u79b1\u544a\u2026\u2026)<\/p><ol><li id=\"footnote-1\"><p>Samuel Huntington(\u8cfd\u7e46\u723e.\u676d\u4ead\u9813)\uff0c\u8ab0\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u4eba\u2014\u65cf\u7fa4\u878d\u5408\u7684\u554f\u984c\u8207\u570b\u5bb6\u8a8d\u540c\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\uff1c\u5de6\u5cb8\u6587\u5316\uff0cp.81\uff0e\uff1e <a href=\"#footnote-ref-1\">\u2191<\/a><\/p><\/li><li id=\"footnote-2\"><p>p.80,11-13\uff0e <a href=\"#footnote-ref-2\">\u2191<\/a><\/p><\/li><\/ol>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e3b\u984c\u6587\u7ae0 2025\u5e743\u6708 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